Luck is hard to beat: the difficulty of sports prediction Aoki et al., KDD'17 You can build all the outcome prediction models you like, such as the strategic play model we looked at yesterday, but some events have a certain amount of inherent unpredictability. There have been empirical and theoretical studies showing that unpredictability cannot … Continue reading Luck is hard to beat: the difficulty of sports prediction

"The Leicester City Fairytale?" : Utilizing new soccer analytics tools to compare performance in the 15/16 and 16/17 EPL seasons Ruiz et al., KDD'17 In England the cricket season is coming to a close and a new football (soccer) season is getting underway. Today's paper choice is a bit of fun from the recent KDD'17 … Continue reading “The Leicester City fairytale?”: Utilizing new soccer analytics tools to compare performance in the 15/16 and 16/17 EPL seasons